The specialist prediction data from GoldDerby.com is most likely the closest thing we’ve got to monitoring”sharp” action for award shows. While they do not always pinpoint the winner (who does?) , their accuracy was at the 66-92% array as 2011. The secret is that the pros are dead as far as the films for which they don’t vote, which allows us to narrow down each category to just the contenders with true shots of winning.
The percentage of this pro vote a nominee gets in a specific group can be treated because its”true” odds, which may subsequently be compared to actual gaming chances for that class to determine which bets offer the maximum value.
Here’s a table comparing a candidate’s true probability of winning based on the exports with the probability implied from the betting odds for various classes, sorted by value.
Make sure you check back regularly up till 8 pm lock, as I’ll be updating if chances new and shift values emerge.
Read more here: http://www.396854.com/archives/6134